...and by KISS I don't mean you should be attacking the two day Cheltenham Showcase meeting in the style of Gene Simmons!!
I suspect 'The Demon's' betting style would be somewhat erratic, a shade on the flamboyant side and he'd probably convince himself he'd won every time...even though he'd lost!!
Yeah I reckon Gene Simmons may fall into the realms of mug punting! (if you happen to know Gene don't tell him I said that, I'm actually a big KISS fan, I
wouldn't want to upset the big fella...)
And how best to apply that to this weekends Cheltenham meeting?
Well simple...
Make sure you keep Paul Nicholls firmly
on your side.
An obvious one, yes, but sometimes KISS is best...
At the last six Cheltenham Showcase meetings Nicholls has easily outstripped the rest of the trainers when it comes to winners. EASILY outstripped them...
He's had SIX more winners than his nearest rival Nigel Twiston-Davies...
He's had ELEVEN more winners than Henderson, and TWELVE more than Hobbs & O'Neill (in fact he's had three more than that trio even when you combine their
powers!!)...
It may be obvious, it may be simple, but it leads to profits...
Here are his stats at the meeting for the last six years (since 2012)...
Paul Nicholls Showcase
stats...
16/49 | 33% S/R | +£14.94 LSP (+18.11 BFLSP)
Win & Place 22/49 | 45% S/R
56% above
expectation
Amazingly he's profitable to follow blind and he's had at least one winner at each of the last six Showcase meetings.
BUT...
Those figures can be tightened up to find an even
STRONGER strike-rate and JUICIER profits...
And that's where I enter MINI-ANGLE territory!
Take a look at the following...
Paul Nicholls Mini-Angle | Cheltenham
Showcase meeting
Race worth 21k or less to winner | Horse had 1-13 previous (UK) starts
16/32 | 50% S/R | +£31.94 LSP (+£35.11
BFLSP)
Win & Place 20/32 | 63% S/R
94% above expectation
That angle has provided at
least one winner in each of the last six years and been profitable to SP in 5 of the 6 years. It actually made a minuscule loss to SP last year (-0.50) but if you had managed to get on at the early prices it would have pulled in a minor profit (+1.00).
As far as angles go it's pretty damn simple, but that's why it fits snugly in the KISS
methodology.
Profitable doesn't need to be complicated.
K.I.S.S
Qualifiers for this Paul Nicholls angle will be
highlighted by myself to full NTF members over the next couple of days.
You can, of course, source the qualifiers yourself, or you can let me do the hard work
for you...
I also have another Mini-Angle to attack this Cheltenham meeting with...
Neither mini-angle produces a mountain of qualifiers each year but both have produced qualifiers (and winners!) in each of the last six years so I'd be disappointed if there wasn't a few to tuck into this time around as well...
