I wanted to look further than just simply running at the Cheltenham Festival though. I also wanted to check the record of those horses that WON at Cheltenham and then came on to run at
Aintree.
Here's what my digging returned...
21/61 | 34% S/R | +£23.12 BFLSP
Win & Place 37/61 | 61% S/R
Or in other words 17% of Aintree winners WON at the Cheltenham Festival. Backing them all gave you a tasty strike-rate and a bit of profit to play with (worth noting, however, it wasn't a profit each of the last six years).
If you want to tighten
things up a bit further it's best to concentrate on those that are running either at the same class level or 1 class level up or down from their Cheltenham effort (18/40 | 45% S/R | +£27.53 BFLSP - W&P 27/40 | 68% S/R).
Certainly an angle to be keeping a close eye on although admittedly this year, like last year, it will all depend on how many of the Irish winners
make the trip back over in search of the Cheltenham/Aintree double.
Back to those Cheltenham winners though...
I took a closer look at the Cheltenham winners stats at Aintree and discovered the following two sub-angles...
Cheltenham winners at Aintree in Non-Handicaps
19/47 | 40% S/R | +£0.48 BFLSP
Win & Place 31/47 | 66% S/R
Won't make you rich(!?) but certainly a hefty 40% strike-rate at play there...
Cheltenham winners at Aintree over Hurdles
13/30 | 43% S/R | +£33.75 BFLSP
Win & Place 21/30 | 70% S/R
A bit more like it on the profits front!
Both interesting little sub-plots for those that like to dig a bit deeper.
Combining the two improves the strike-rates but again the BFLSP figure takes a hit somewhat...
Cheltenham winners at Aintree in Non-Hcp Hurdles
11/24 | 46% S/R | +£3.11 BFLSP
Win & Place 18/24 | 75% S/R