So I thought I'd
get stuck into a bit of Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle analysis!
As you do...
Even
better for you guys I thought I'd share that analysis with you today.
I also wanted to share with you some recent examples of my NTF analysis guides. Before people sign up for my services I often get asked what exactly my analysis entails, so I thought the best way to show that would be with visual
evidence of some of the races I've covered in the past month. The example guide is attached with this email for you all to download...
But back to the Fred Winter Analysis...
This isn't a race that appears on my 20 race schedule for full NTF members but I wanted to start getting
it on my radar, with a view to future inclusion on the full service.
In fairness it's probably one of the trickiest races to master over the 4 days, with four of the last five winners returning at 25/1, 33/1, 25/1 & 40/1.
In fact seven of the 12 winners have gone off at an SP of 14/1 or bigger.
No denying that when it comes to tricky Cheltenham
Festival puzzles this one is bang up there!
I don't mind that though, in fact I relish it, especially when it's a race that is starting to look strong on the trends front.
There are currently 37 horses still entered in the race so to cut that down to a manageable shortlist I used the following three trends...
1 11/12 had an OR of 133
-124 (0/57 OR 134+ | 1/68 OR 123 & below)
2 11/12 ran within the past 45 days (1/67 DSLR 46+)
3 12/12 had between 1 & 5 previous Hurdle starts (0/31 6+ hurdle starts)