Well yes, potentially. There are three on my figures who have a stronger profile for the race than Air Force Blue.
With Air Force Blue currently trading at the
stingy price of 8/11 or shorter there is plenty of juice in the price of those who sit at the top of my list.
Just because they are top of the figures doesn't guarantee they will finish ahead of the fav of course, far from it, and Air Force Blue could be a very special horse indeed, but they are trading at just the kind of prices I like having on my side, especially when they are
runners that have a prime profile for the first classic of the season, based on my own profile of previous winners of the illustrious race.
They will find out which runners fit my profiles.
They will find out where my money is going and why.
And knowing the BDH/NTF subscribers like I do they will either agree with me and
tread the same path or nod, agree, see where I'm coming from and then use the in-depth guides to come to their own conclusions!
Which, in my opinion, is exactly why the guides/service are a great addition to any punters betting weaponry.
I won't simply supply you with a name and
expect you to follow me in blindly. I'm not about that. Never have been, never will be. Doesn't interest me.
The 2000 Guineas guide (and all guides for the rest of the season) will cover the race trends profile (applied to every runner), the exclusive dosage profiles (again applied to every runner) and will also have pace and draw maps looking at where the likely pace is to come from.
As a member of the FREE BDH/NTF list you can join current members for a discounted rate on the link below...
When profiling the 2000 Guineas using race trends/profiling I utilise 12 individual angles, painstakingly researched by myself.
Here are four of the main trends I have applied to this
years contenders...
1 15/15 top 3 finish LTO
2 14/15 had at least previously placed at group
level
3 14/15 had finished no lower than 4th in their career
4 14/15 were (GB) or (IRE)
bred
There are another eight trends that all runners have had applied to them.
I'm not looking for a perfect fit, I'm just looking for the best fit.
Taking into
account the Dosage trends I expect to have a short-list of five.
I'll probably play two of them.
One at least will be at double figure odds.
If Air Force Blue is as good as they
say I'm probably only looking for place money but then again short prices in the Guineas are no guarantee of victory.
Of the last nine 2000 Guineas contenders to start at 6/4 or less only THREE of them have won.
Price trends are not something I rely upon to be honest but
that does go to show that you shouldn't be frightened to take on a hot-pot in the first classic of the season, far from it.
The 2000 Guineas is merely the start of things on BDH. Indeed the race guides only make up about 50% of the analysis I'll be doing on the service this summer.
The exclusive
BDH (Badly Drawn Horse) squad and newly introduced Handicap Sleepers will make up the rest of the 'work-load'.
Indeed there are already 28 horses sitting in the first Handicap Sleepers guide waiting to do the business (when their prime conditions appear, of course).
I'll also be keeping a close eye on this weekends action looking for any more that I can add to the squad(s) as I prime both the BDH & Handicap Sleeper squads for the season ahead.
Happy Punting
http://www.badlydrawnhorse.co.uk/bdh-subscription-sign-up-free-list-discount/
p.s. did you get your free Handicap Sleepers Guide earlier this week?
If not you can still grab your copy
below...
