Miscellaneous Cheltenham Festival price stats...

Price stats and angles based around SP or Favourites filters are never something I blindly rely upon...

...although they are definitely something I do factor in to the wider picture...

...more something that I have in my peripheral view than dead at the centre of my analysis...

...and I've been doing a bit of digging/checking over previous angles I have plugged in for, naturally, next week's Cheltenham Festival action...

Here's a trio of stats/angles for you to ponder over for this year's Festival... as always I'll be using these as part of my overall analysis approach when I'm pulling together the completed guides for NTF Members...

Guides you can get your hands on here>>>

Here's those Cheltenham Festival price/favourites 'angles' I've been looking at...

Irish trained favs in Handicaps | 2+ seasonal starts | Same or up in trip from last run

(since 2018)

12/29 | 41% S/R | +£31.41 BFLSP - W&P 20/29 | 69% S/R

96% above exp | E/W = +£33.70

📊

UK trained favs in Grade 1's | aged 4yo-8yo | previously run at track

(since 2014)

17/33 | 52% S/R | +£22.57 BFLSP - W&P 22/33 | 67% S/R

28% above exp | E/W = +£15.08

📊

G1 Chases | Top-Rated (on OR) or no more than 2lbs below top-rated horse | 6yo-9yo | 2-5 seasonal starts | SP 5/1 or less

(since 2014)

37/75 | 49% S/R | +£48.59 BFLSP - W&P 54/75 | 72% S/R

28% above exp | E/W = +£45.00

...again, these are definitely more angles I'd have floating in my peripheral view than ones I'd be coldly relying upon... the sort where I'd be adding positives to a horse who would meet the criteria highlighted...

...you may agree... disagree... have another way of using them... the choice is yours completely...

...what the data is telling us, however, is that horses qualifying on those 'angles' have been performing above expectation for quite some time... and that's never bad info to have in your Cheltenham knowledge bank... 

I'm off for coffee number 5 of the day... I've still got plenty more info gathering and field narrowing to do before next week... so the caffeine bombs are flowing at a regular rate right now to keep my brain sharp!!

I also just dropped some Sandown analysis to members for the 'NH' Novices Hurdle Final and the Imperial Cup... both highlights on Saturday's card... and both races that tend to hold up really well on the race trends front...

That Sandown analysis is also available to you when you hook up to the NTF Cheltenham & Aintree service...

>>>Join the full NTF Analysis service

Important things to know for the NTF Festival Service...

• The Festival Service covers both Cheltenham AND Aintree (with some ad-hoc analysis thrown in also)
• The service will be provided via email only (so no need to log-in to the NTF Members Area)
• There will be NO Telegram group running alongside the service (this WILL return, however, for the 2026 NTF Summer Service) 

Cheers

Ben (NTF)

>>>Join NTF for the Cheltenham Festival HERE

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