How to nail those HUGE priced winners (40-1+)...

Published: Fri, 05/23/25

Updated: Fri, 05/23/25

...and in this case the complete outsider of the field!...

First up though... NO PODBLAST today...

Tony is still recovering from Man Utd losing the crap Champions League final... sorry... I meant the Europa League final...

Nah... only kidding... we both had a couple things on this week so decided to give ourselves a week off... we'll be back PodBlasting next week, all being well...

Now... back to those 40-1+ winners... and...

How DO you nail a 40/1 (BFSP 80.0) winner that is also the complete outsider of a field of 13?

Simple... look for a Handicap Sleeper that also has Prime Conditions to shoot for...

OK, it's rare that any method will consistently nail winners at HUGE odds (40-1+) but it's my experience, and the experience of long time NTF members, that one of the best ways of pinpointing winners at massive odds is to use the NTF Handicap Sleeper/Prime Condition Analysis method...

A method that forms the bedrock of the NTF Stats Sheets that I supply NTF members with up to six-times a week...

But what are the NTF Stats Sheets?

Well... they are your shortcut to a horse's Prime Conditions... or, in other words, the conditions where a horse is most likely to win or place, based on it's previous form...

...these types are regularly over-priced in the betting market... which in turn is where you can pull some profits from the bookies... turning the odds in your favour for a change...

There was actually a great example on yesterday's Stats Sheet... when QUEEN'S COMPANY romped home at Yarmouth at an SP of 12/1... and a BFSP of 20.47...

This is how she looked on the Stats Sheet...

And she's now 142312112111 (7/12, 4p) under her PC after yesterdays victory...

>>Pick up today's NTF Stats Sheet

But QUEEN'S COMPANY isn't who I wanted to focus on today...

Instead I want to go back to last seasons National Hunt service and the start of December (01/12/24)...

The horse in question was GIPSY LEE ROSE...

GIPSY LEE ROSE had finished Pulled-Up 23-days previous at Hexham... so was coming in off the back of a disastrous effort...

...but that didn't bother me as the mare DIDN'T have Prime Conditions at Hexham...

...she DID, however, have Prime Conditions for the Carlisle run...

...this is how she looked in the NTF Stats Sheets for that day...

...and this was the supporting stats I had in the 'Summary (+ any additional notes)' section of that day's Stats Sheets for GIPSY LEE ROSE...

... one of the things that caught my eye the most was the 'headgear switch'...

...Nick Alexander had some solid (and profitable) stats with similar types to GIPSY LEE ROSE...

...I suspected that the PU run LTO was nothing more than a primer for the horse and the headgear switch was an indication (to me) that this race was a potential 'target' for her...

Was I confident she would win?

No...

Was I confident she had a much better chance than her huge odds suggested?

Absolutely... she had Prime Conditions to shoot for after all... if she was going to be winning/placing then it was highly likely it would come under conditions such as the ones she was facing on that sleepy December Sunday at Carlisle...

The rest, as they say, is now history in the form book...

GIPSY LEE ROSE's trainer - Nick Alexander - was called to the stewards room after the race and was asked to explain... 'where the improvement came from off the back of her PU effort LTO'...

To which he replied... 'she was better suited by the going'...

But what he really should have said was... 'she had her PRIME CONDITIONS today and was also a HANDICAP SLEEPER... so it's obvious really guys!'...

Aah... if only he had said that...

But ultimately what was said after the race makes no difference to myself or the many NTF Members that backed GIPSY LEE ROSE that day...

All we cared about was that...

...she had her Prime Conditions to shoot for...

...she was handicapped to be winning...

...she was available at a VERY generous price...

...and that she delivered in style!

I highlight similar types to full NTF members on the NTF Stats Sheets throughout both the National Hunt AND the Flat seasons...

...obviously they don't all win...

...but they win enough times to make the many long hours of study I put in to find such types more than worthwhile...

...and YOU can get your hands on the fruits of that long and deep hours of study by joining the full NTF service for the 2025 Flat season...

...and today I've a 'Flash Discount' offer for you...

>>>Join in the Handicap Sleeper revolution on NTF [Flash Discount]

Cheers - Ben (NTF)

www.narrowingthefield.co.uk

Cheers - Ben (NTF)

4 NT, Birstall, West Yorkshire WF17 9EU, United Kingdom

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