Now for those 'mud-loving' stats I was mentioning...
I decided to have a look at any Aintree races since the start of 2016 that had been run on ground officially described as 'Soft' or 'Heavy'...
And there have been a few...
132 of the 421 races run at Aintree since the start of 2016 have been run on Soft or Heavy
ground...
...almost a third of them... so no massive surprise that we'll likely see testing ground at the track this week... for all if it doesn't stop raining soon it may be the most testing it has been at the National meeting for quite some
time!
Using those 132 Soft & Heavy ground races, I wanted to see if...
a) any SIRES stood out
and
b) if any TRAINERS stood out
Here's what I
found...
Sires...
The following bunch caught my eye...
MIDNIGHT LEGEND
6/34 | 18% S/R | +£23.91 - W&P 10/34 | 29% S/R
KAYF TARA
5/38 | 13% S/R | +£11.07 - W&P 11/38 | 29% S/R
MILAN
5/26 | 19% S/R | +£17.56 - W&P 8/26 | 31% S/R
FLEMENSFIRTH (W&P number caught my eye)
4/59 | 7% S/R | +£46.38 - W&P 18/59 | 31% S/R
WALK IN THE
PARK
4/13 | 31% S/R | +£20.84 - W&P 6/13 | 46% S/R
KAPGARDE
3/18 | 17% S/R | +£32.07 - W&P 7/18 | 39% S/R
(stats are the
record of sires offspring on Aintree Soft or Heavy since 2016)
It's a bit of a rough & ready approach... I wouldn't rely too heavily on it... but it's something to factor in to the wider picture... could make all the difference if the mud really
starts to fly...
Trainers...
NICKY HENDERSON (Non-Handicaps)
9/30 | 30% S/R | +£24.45 - W&P 12/30 | 40% S/R
DAN SKELTON (Ridden by H Skelton | 4yo-7yo)
8/34 | 24% S/R | +£173.11 - W&P 18/34 | 53% S/R
PAUL NICHOLLS (1-5 seasonal runs | 2m5f or less)
9/39 | 23% S/R | +£23.90 - W&P 15/39 | 38% S/R
N TWISTON-DAVIES (0-3 seasonal runs | SP 10/1 or less)
9/28 | 32% S/R | +£12.64 - W&P 12/28 | 43%
S/R
WILLIE MULLINS (4yo-8yo | Won 1 of last 4 | DSLR <57)
7/24 | 29% S/R | +£26.77 - W&P 15/24 | 63% S/R
Again, like the Sire stats, it's a bit of a rough and ready approach, but the above five trainers have some solid stats at Aintree when the ground is on the testing side... and
it's something to factor into the overall picture...