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A great start to the NTF Summer Service yesterday...

BOLSTER - 5/1 ✅

RHOSCOLYN - 9/1 ✅

And Oaks winner EZELIYA was one of 5 qualifiers on the trends I posted out in yesterday's email (red-hot fav YLANG YLANG was nowhere to be seen on the trends shortlist and ran accordingly)...

Today the colts step into the spotlight, with THE DERBY the highlight of day 2 at Espom...

But who do the trends highlight as having the best chance of landing the 1m4f Classic?

Well... let's have a look...

NTF Race Trends for The Derby...

BETFRED DERBY (4.30 Epsom)

A little bit trickier of a race on the trends than it used to be, but the following look a good starting point...

1          12/12 rated OR 107+ (or yet to hold a rating)

2          12/12 Won 1 of last 3 starts

3          12/12 sired by a G1 winner

4          12/12 1-2 starts in current season

5          12/12 started at an SP of 8/1 or less LTO

6          11/12 previously run at Group level

The following five pass all those trends this season...

AMBIENTE FRIENDLY

ANCIENT WISDOM

CITY OF TROY

DEIRA MILE

LOS ANGELES

If the trends hold up this year then the winner comes from that group of five...

Worth taking a look at the draw/pace for the race as well... and here's that section from today's NTF Members Race Analysis guide...

...again, not easy to accurately predict each horse's probable running styles and I suspect a few that have been on the pace/close to pace so far in their careers may just sit a bit deeper today...

We will soon see...

Best of luck with your Derby bets... I'm off to get one last job done in the house (that I failed to get done during my three week downtime 😵‍💫) and then I'll be settling in for a busy day of top class sporting action (Racing at Epsom... Champions League Final... Boxing... and maybe some French Open Tennis in-between!!) 

Cheers - Ben (NTF)

>>>Check out NTF for yourself here

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