.
>>>Grab you £10 Week Ticket to NTF today
Now for those Cheltenham Festival Trials Day Stats...
...and first I want to look at the Novice races, of which there are two run at the meeting...
The C2 Novice Handicap Chase (Won by Stage Star last
year)
The G2 Novice Hurdle (Won by Rock My Way last year)
Looking back at the last 10 Trials Day meetings and combining both Novice races, you find, naturally, 20 winners to work with
(from 184 runners)...
16 of those 20 winners all passed the following...
GB or IRE bred
1-6 starts in last 365-days
1-12 career starts
Finished 1st or 2nd LTO
SP 14/1 or less
Giving figures of...
16/57 | 28% S/R | +£62.13 BFLSP - W&P 28/57 | 49% S/R
...a little rough and ready, maybe, but applying
those stats would have helped you find 80% of the winners of the two Novice races run at Cheltenham Trials Day...
Next up I want to look at those horses that were running at the meeting and had previous winning form at Grade 1 or Grade 2 level...
Trials Day at Cheltenham generally attracts some top shelf players so I decided to run a report looking at how those horses that had previous recorded a victory in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 race performed... and as usually I dug a little bit deeper and added a couple of additional filters...
...which led me to the following...
Cheltenham Trials Day
Horses that had Previously WON a G1 or G2 race
WON or PLACED Last Time Out
Ridden
by a jockey that had previously WON on them
...which gave me figures of...
24/80 | 30% S/R | +£59.97 BFLSP - W&P 38/80 | 48% S/R
...and it makes sense, as you are looking at a horse that had
shown previous ability to win at a high level... was coming into the meeting in at least some level of decent form (Won or Placed LTO)... and were being ridden by a jockey who knew what it took to produce a winning ride on the horse...
Only once in the
last 10 Cheltenham Trials Days did that angle not produce a winner (2015... when there were only 3 qualifiers)...
