Chasers than ran over Hurdles LTO...
Now my initial thoughts, before checking, would be that running in a Cheltenham Festival Chase off the back of a Hurdle run wouldn't be a positive... and, under certain circumstances, I'd be right...
For example... you don't want
to be heading to one of the G1 Chases off the back of a Hurdle run.. not many try it but the ones that have are... 0/22, 1p...
But there is a 'quirky' angle concerning Chasers coming off a Hurdle run that looks, at the very least, worth keeping an eye on... that angle being as follows...
Cheltenham Festival Chases (G2 or less) | Ran in a Hurdle race LTO | DSLR 75 or less | Previously run at the Cheltenham Festival | SP <33/1
Since 2005 the stats read...
17/90 | 19% S/R | +£80.56 LSP
Win & Place - 40/90 | 44% S/R (E/W returns = +£127.03)
75% above expectation
...which is a LOT healthier than I thought it would be before I started digging... and there are also quite a few 5th & 6th placed finishers in the data-set... which would have seen an E/W pay-out in plenty of books... so you can easy argue that the E/W stats are even better than the bare figures above...
You won't get many qualifiers on the angle each year... but in a bit of 'out of the box' style thinking it is a tidy looking angle... and one I've now got locked and loaded and will be looking out for any qualifiers being highlighted to me next week...
But for now... it's back to the festival analysis grindstone...
Analysis you can get your hands on by heading HERE>>>
