How to nail a triple-digit winner?
Simple... Race Trends Analysis.
OK, it's rare that any method will consistently nail winners at HUGE odds (40-1+) but it's my experience, and the experience of long time NTF followers, that one of the best ways of pinpointing winners at massive odds, or at least winners that a majority of the wider
betting market are ignoring, is to use Race Trends Analysis.
A perfect recent example of my own NTF Race Trends at work came a couple of weeks ago when I covered the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe as the last race for my 2021 Summer Members Service.
In fairness it's always been a strong race for me on the trends and this year was not the first time the winner had been nailed using the method.
These were the trends that led me to this years winner...
1 15/15 top 5 finish LTO
2 15/15 previously won over 1m4f
3 15/15 last win came at Group level over 1m2f-1m4f
4 15/15 ran over 1m2f - 1m4f LTO
5 15/15 4-20 previous career starts
6 14/15 ran in a Group 1 or Group 2 race LTO
7 14/15 were a 3yo or 4yo
8 14/15 had previously won at G1 level
9 14/15 DSLR 21-38
10 13/15 won 1 of last 3 starts
...and this was how the NTF Race Trends table looked when I posted it to full NTF Members when the final decs were released a couple days prior to the big race...