Aintree Non-Handicaps...
There have been 84 Non-Handicap races at last 6 Aintree National festivals...
> All 84 winners had recorded a top 2 finish on one of their last 3 starts (0/94 for those that hadn't)
> Horses rated more than 16lbs below the top rated in the race have won only 2 of the 84 races (returning overall stats of 2/269| 0.75% S/R | -£246.64 BFLSP - 77% below expectation)
> Horses returning from breaks of more than 75 days have only won 2 of the 84 races (returning overall stats of 2/120 | 1.7% S/R | -£78.81 BFLSP - 74% below exp)
> Colin Tizzard has some strong stats in the Grade 1's at the meeting, especially with those that finished in the top 2 on 1 of their last 3 starts... 10/19 | 53% S/R | +£99.11 BFLSP - W&P 14/19 | 74% S/R - 174% above exp
Aintree Trainer...
Nicky Henderson (since 2010)...
6yo's | Won 1 of last 3 | No Headgear | 3-6 starts last 365 days | 2-5 starts in current season
14/26 | 54% S/R | +£60.70 BFLSP - W&P 16/26 | 62% S/R - 93% above exp
Miscellaneous...
Cheltenham Favs Angle...
Fav/Joint Fav/Co Fav at Aintree | 2 starts in last 90 days | Clear Fav at Cheltenham Festival LTO and finished in top 3
12/17 | 71% S/R | +£16.87 BFLSP - W&P 15/17 | 88% S/R - 63% above exp (form line of 14511111131121P11)
Some interesting bits and bobs to ponder over there...
The main analysis from myself, however, will be happening in the NTF Members Area and you can hook up for Aintree week on the following link...